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Fools rush in

November 8th, 2011 K. Shoshana No comments

A rather new political meme has been mid-wifed and delivered via this New York Times article by Avinoam Bar-Yosef which suggests Marwin Barghouti needs to be released to keep the peace process going…. First, massaging the background

The Israeli peace camp has often called for the release of Barghouti, but the security establishment has strongly opposed it. The 52-year-old, life-long activist is held responsible by Israel for directing many attacks and suicide bombings against Israeli civilians, and he was sentenced in 2004 to five life sentences

And the meme.

The world should understand that there is a new Israeli phenomenon: most Israelis have moved to the left when it comes to the peace process and are ready for compromise even if, for tactical reasons, they vote for the right.

No. Actually I see no evidence of this of Israelis moving to the left when it comes to the peace process….if anything, I would suggest Israelis are voting rightwing and becoming far more hawkish, while economically, most Israelis stand firmly on the left – just think of the success of the recent of the housing protests.

I suspect this is the meme is the hope of the last bastion for the Israeli media, who are the last, and greatest concentration of lefties, still left in Israeli society. Mazel Tov with the meme…but it might have more weight; if the organization Barghouti lead (the Tanzim wing of PLO) was not the terrorist recruitment arm for Al Aqsa’s Martyrs’ Brigade. Some of us can still remember the havoc and blood of the intifada.
The Ballad of Oslo’s Children.

Obama needs to learn to love Bibi

October 27th, 2011 K. Shoshana No comments

Israeli polls are notoriously unreliable during campaign cycles but this poll published in the Jerusalem Post does reflect the political vibe I a have been picking up one.

The Likud would win 37 seats in the next Knesset, and Labor would pass Kadima by five seats if elections were held today, according a poll by Channel 2 and the Sarid Institute for Research Services that was published on Wednesday night. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s party would gain ten seats in the next election, despite recent social protests. The pollsters explained that the bump was most likely due to the prisoner exchange in which Gilad Schalit was released from Hamas captivity.

The poll also showed that Kadima would shrink from 28 to 17 MKs, possibly because of party leader Tzipi Livni’s criticism of the Schalit deal. Labor, under the new leader Shelly Yacimovich, would become the second-biggest faction in the Knesset, with 22 mandates as opposed to the current eight. The party won 13 seats in the previous election, but five MKs separated to form the Independence party, led by Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman’s Israel Beiteinu would remain with the 15 Knesset seats it currently has. Netanyahu also led in responses to the question “Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?” with 41 percent. Yacimovich received 15%, while Kadima leader Tzipi Livni tied with Lieberman for nine percent.


While I may not be all that impressed with Bibi the fact is that he has done an ‘okay-reasonable job’ under the circumstances, while Tzipi Livni’s leadership of Kadima (and alledgedly centrist party) has been an unmitigated disaster. If there is a politically ‘wrong side’ on any given issue; Livni has failed to perceive it or embrace it. If an election were held in the immediate future, I expect to see Kadima to be reduced to more or less irrelevancy in Knesset.

Right now, Shelly Yacimovich’s leadership of the Labour party is in a honeymoon period with the Israeli electorate – and until the nostagia’for the old Israeli Labour party is over – and it will end, and rather quickly – depending on how controversial any given statement or position taken by Yacimovich is; I suspect a comeback in Knesset seats is in the cards – although I am not sure I would pin Labour’s mandate at 22 – rather too optimistic and would peg Labour’s chances to be far more likely in the 12-15 range.

Nor am I convinced that Lieberman’s party would remain stagnant in growth – although I don’t see a serious upswing in voter mandates either. Anyone hoping for an end to Likud’s mandate in an immediate future election cycle; is trafficking more in dreams and fantasies. The odds are stacked that Bibi and Likud will probably be returned even stronger by the Israeli electorate. And, in an act of supreme irony; the current political climate for Kadima implies that it cannot allow the current Likud leadership coalition to fall without taking the risk of becoming politically irrelevant. Obama and the democrats need to find a new Israeli best friend. Neither, Ehud Barak or Tzipi Livni, have much political sway within the Israeli electorate. Better to learn to love Bibi.

Food for thought

August 21st, 2011 K. Shoshana No comments

Arutz Sheva has You Tubed a video collage of Israeli Knesset members who spoke out in favour of the ‘disengagement’ from the Gaza Strip chastising all those who said that the violence against Israeli civilians would increase after the disengagement from the Gaza Strip.


Normally, I would say flippantly that it never gets old being right…except I wish I was wrong in this case. However, (this is where I go old Biblical Prophet-style and say) any withdrawal – with or without a negotiated settlement with the Palestinians – will not stop the Palestinian attacks against Israeli civilians. The land for peace formula is utterly and completely bankrupt.

The hand of fate

March 29th, 2011 K. Shoshana 1 comment
Blogging has been practically non-existent for the last few months because I received a contract to write the memoirs of a little known Israeli military hero from the War of Independence. My deadline is looming and I have just the conclusion to write which is all well and good except I am suffering from the worse case of writer’s block in the known verse.

As much as my goal is to breathe life in this memoir; I find the birth pangs are grinding down my will and impairing my ability to focus on the task at hand. In an effort to jump start this process I thought I would write a little about the man whose memoirs I am writing.

His name isn’t very well known although he played a direct role in the formation of the Israeli state and fought as a sapper with the Soviet Red Army. In fact, he was instrumental and played a direct hand in ensuing the Soviet’s escape a German pincher movement in the Ukraine.

If the Red Army hadn’t successfully crossed the Dnieper River more 1.2 million Russian soldiers and equipment would have been vanquished from the field of battle, and consequently, the Soviets would have lost all ability to fight on. Imagine – the consequences for us in the West; if the Soviets were defeated in the fall of 1941.

It is really not surprising his name was only known in the upper echelon of Israeli military and early Labor Zionist political/government circles. He left Israel in 1956 feeling the Labor Zionist movement had betrayed the very people – like him – who were among the few to take up arms and risked the treasure of their lives to make the Zionist state a reality.

The lesson we so often learn is that only the victors write history and so why would a man like him be lauded? A man who routinely referred to David Ben Gurion a ’shrimp’ and thought Golda Meir was the ‘root of all ugliness’. A man who believed Moshe Dayan should have been tried by a military court for incompetence, and wasn’t only because of his family’s connections within Labor Zionist movement. Or who thought that Menachem Begin had a gift for making a speech but couldn’t fight his way out of a paper bag. A man who commanded the young Ariel Sharon and thought him a good boy who could be counted on to do exactly what he was told to do – no matter the price.

Every once in a while a witness outside the victor’s circle gets heard and gives a contrary cry to the established narrative of the victors. When I was first offered the project I wrote a friend and asked his opinion on the matter. He wrote and I quote -

Even setting aside his own role, anyone that even witnessed battles as diverse as helping yet another Soviet army being destroyed in a Kiev-like encirclement battle, Tobruk, and Haifa – let’s see, by my tally, that’s someone who:
helped prevent the defeat of the Soviet’s in the first year of their war with Germany, helped prevent the Nazis from capturing the Suez Canal – preventing a linkage between Germany and Japan, and played a causal role in the creation of Israel.

Most people never get the chance to be present at one major historical event – this guy was present and active at 3. I hate to admit it, but some things are better than sex.

I am not so sure about the sex part (the verdict is still out on that one) but there are very few personal accounts of life in the Red Army during Operation Barbarossa. It is one of those little historical ironies that most accounts available to us in the west tell the tale concerning life for a German soldier on the Russian front. There are varied reasons for this – one of which is the constant Soviet need to rewrite their own historical narrative to reflect whatever current political realities of the day was reining. And so here is an excerpt from Jaques Bar’s – Life on the Russian Front 1941


The convoy was rolling as fast as the road allowed  in order to reach the bridge in the shortest time possible and by the shortest route. There wasn’t much talk amongst the ranks during this time and it occurred to me that the first group of Soviet soldiers were probably hoping to reach the bridge before the Germans and praying the crossing would be done in time. The second group was probably wishing the Germans had already reached the bridge and were waiting for the convoy. I was preoccupied with trying to determine the ratio between the first and second group. The regiment sent forward a detachment to the bridge holders to persuade them to wait and not to blow up the bridge precisely at midnight in case the convoy arrived late and providing the facts on the ground would allow it.

We arrived twenty-three minutes after midnight and found the bridge was still standing. The convoy crossed the river in seven minutes and the bridge was safely blown away. With a group of German troops still on our heels but moving cautiously we continued on in the night in the direction of the river. We did not dare to stop even for a moment after crossing the river but continued to drive in a southeast direction, climbing the top of a deep canyon on the east banks of the river. The road was steep, narrow and curved which made it very difficult for the larger trucks to manoeuvre. It was assumed there were probably a few other German units who had already crossed the river in a few places – possibly north and upstream of our position.

The drivers by this time were weary and harassed from the constant need to drive without sleep or food. Long before sunrise the convoy came out from the canyon into the open steppe and started moving very fast in the southeasterly direction. The wide road on the steppe made it possible to drive three to four trucks side by side and this abridged the length of the convoy to half a mile long. The race was to get to the new Russian front lines before any fighting occurred and possibly hunker, down in the forests where German air craft could not sight us and attack from the sky.

Out of nowhere came a barrage from different firearms and explosions. The convoy was racing directly into a line of fire and it was instantly apparent we were the target. Kirilenko immediately jumped out from the truck he was riding with Gorbachev and me to join his assigned men. Under heavy fire, the convoy broke formation in an attempt to look for cover or hideouts in all directions – spreading out as widely as possible. The fire intensified and concentrated on the convoy where the explosives seemed to be concentrated. Different types of shrapnel were hitting the convoy and no matter which direction the drivers took to evade fire. Whenever a vehicle stopped, frightened soldiers crawled or leaped out from the trucks, screaming this was an ambush, a trap, the Germans had trapped them in a surprise attack.

The soldiers left the convoy and spread out onto the field leaping from one place to another and took up positions in the lowest possible places on the ground – great distances from the trucks and waited for further orders. I knew the realities of the front line but I never expected to find myself in the midst of live fire on the front line. I had convinced myself the evacuation and the retreat would be safe and not pose any real risk of danger. I did not think I was exposing myself to the opportunity of certain death. I looked up into the terrified eyes of Gorbachev whose eyes told me the situation was clear. The convoy had been intercepted by German troops and within a very short period of time everything would be lost and destroyed.

I made it clear to Gorbachev that I could not surrender to the Germans because I was a Jew and since no chance of escape existed, I would commit suicide. No other solution was possible for me. Gorbachev was close to breaking down; so deep was he shocked by the latest turn of events. He turned to me and said that he had no other choice but to fight to the bitter end. He would not allow himself to be taken alive. Then just as suddenly, the shooting ceased and the noise from the guns grew quiet.

Gorbachev and I jumped out from the truck and saw two trucks with white white cloths were moving towards the direction from where the shooting had originated. ?There were scattered bodies of the dead and wound soldiers lying everywhere in the fields. There was no attempt at subterfuge and the white flag of surrender was tied to a truck in the lead. This time, the Ukrainian nationalist elements in the regiment were convinced their moment had come and the convoy would be shortly and firmly be under German control.

Gorbachev and I were surprised and interrupted from carrying out our suicide pact by a group of Ukrainian nationalists acting on their own initiative. They forcibly disarmed us and placed us under armed guard until we could be handed over to German military authorities, The Ukrainians promised that after our interrogation by the Germany authorities they would personally kill us both. Gorbachev couldn’t understand why the regiment surrendered without even displaying token resistance while I sunk into despair.

It was an existential moment for me, and I was left pondering, why it was so necessary to come this far, only to be caught by the German division within miles of the new Russian front. I was willing to endure long periods of being cold, wet and lice, suffering chronic hunger and sleep deprivation; if this suffering meant one day I would get my life and freedom back. This left me questioning why my luck had run out at such a moment as this. This ignorable end meant that my opportunity to do something of lasting importance had passed and future historians would never remember or have reason to mention my tragedy.   The all clear was given and the convoy moved back into formation and proceeded to move forward towards the obvious ‘German’ lines.

The self-appointed pro-German Ukrainian soldiers began their new orders by firing additional shots from the machine guns of the moving trucks to ensure all those soldiers lying down were really dead, and if not dead before, were well and truly dead now. When the convoy reached the firing lines and crossed over with the soldiers there was once again much confusion written on the Soviet faces. These were not German troops but Soviet Red Army soldiers behind the newly established front. The convoy was the victim of a friendly fire incident. The Soviets at the new front lines were never advised or made aware there was the possibility of a regimental sapper convoy arriving sometime after midnight.

Furthermore, after string upon string of devastating losses and retreats, it seemed far too incredible for a convoy of this size to have been able to succeed in piercing through the German army iron rings of tanks and guns.

If it wasn’t for the cover of darkness and the convoy arriving late, the Red Army would never have mistaken the regimental sapper convoy for a motorized column of German infantry. After a short battle and the misunderstanding the issue was cleared and the convoy was allowed to pass through with only a loss of about 10% of our strength. The friendly fire incident started because darkness had not completely lifted and the arriving force was taken as a motorized column of German infantry. The Ukrainian soldiers realized that they were also victims of a misunderstanding born out of the fog of war.

The first draft is due on Thursday, and no doubt, there will be multiple re-writes, but until then, let us all ponder the hand of fate.

Long time coming home

January 6th, 2011 K. Shoshana No comments

This was a long time coming, and it is long overdue. Ha’aretz:

Dear Mr. President,

On behalf of the people of Israel, I am writing to you to request clemency for Jonathan Pollard.

At the time of his arrest, Jonathan Pollard was acting as an agent of the Israeli government. Even though Israel was in no way directing its intelligence efforts against the United States, its actions were wrong and wholly unacceptable. Both Mr. Pollard and the Government of Israel have repeatedly expressed remorse for these actions, and Israel will continue to abide by its commitment that such wrongful actions will never be repeated.

As you know, Mr. President, I have raised the question of Jonathan Pollard’s release numerous times in discussions with your administration and with previous U.S. administrations. Previous Israeli Prime Ministers and Presidents have also requested clemency for Mr. Pollard from your predecessors.

Since Jonathan Pollard has now spent 25 years in prison, I believe that a new request for clemency is highly appropriate. I know that this view is also shared by former senior American officials with knowledge of the case as well as by numerous Members of Congress.

Jonathan Pollard has reportedly served longer in prison than any person convicted of similar crimes, and longer than the period requested by the prosecutors at the time of his plea bargain agreement. Jonathan has suffered greatly for his actions and his health has deteriorated considerably.

I know that the United States is a country based on fairness, justice and mercy. For all these reasons, I respectfully ask that you favorably consider this request for clemency. The people of Israel will be eternally grateful.

Sincerely yours,

Benjamin Netanyahu

I am agnostic on Pollard. One can argue Pollard’s motives and rationale from here to when the cows come home, but regardless of his motives, he is one of our own. This is reason enough to request clemancy, but ultimately, he did serve the interests of the Israeli state whatever his motivations and has paid a much harsher punishment than any felon convicted of similar crimes. This is why, despite everything else, Tzipi Livni, leader of the Kadima and the official opposition party in the Knesset is unfit to ever become Prime Minister of Israel. Ha’aretz:

Opposition chairwoman Tzipi Livni (Kadima ), who spoke after Netanyahu, said: “The prime minister has perhaps found the last issue about which there is consensus in this house, and that is Jonathan Pollard. I will not turn Pollard into a political issue. We will give our support to every effort to free him.”

And then she voted to oppose the formal request by the Prime Minister in requesting clemancy for Jonathan Pollard from the United States.

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News food for thought

October 28th, 2010 K. Shoshana 6 comments

The Israeli daily Ha’aretz has only captured only 6.4% of the daily Israeli newspaper reading public. This puts Ha’aretz influence on the Israeli body politic on par with what the influence the Canadian version of Socialist Worker has with Canadians. Now, where Ha’aretz really shines, is the fact it is one of the most widely read Anglo-Israeli newspapers but read predominately by foreigners from outside Israel who quote and widely reference it freely.

So if you are attempting to understand the Israeli psyche/body politic, there is a good chance the only understanding and insight you will be able to come by when reading Ha’aretz is the 6.4% perspective reflected by the ASHamed-Jews-Israeli contingent. All of which goes a long way in explaining why the Obama Administration continually fumbles or missteps when dealing with Israeli government.

And G-d bless Jacob Howardson for The Finkler Question. If you want to understand the motivations for the Amira Hass’s and Gideon Levy’s of the Jewish world – there is no better place to start than The Finkler Question.

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underage stoners

October 12th, 2010 K. Shoshana 3 comments

About time someone asked about the parents of the Arab child rock throwers and threatened to call in child protective services. Arutz Sheva:

Following several Arab lynch attempts in the Shiloach-City of David areas of Jerusalem, the Knesset’s Child Welfare Committee held a session entitled, “The Involvement of Children in Rock-Throwing in Shiloach.” MKs Ben-Ari and Ahmed Tibi argued furiously.
MK Ben-Ari (National Union) said that anyone, including children, who throws rocks and endangers Jewish lives should know that he can be shot. Arab MK Tibi said Ben-Ari and the “entire committee” should see a psychiatrist. The session was called by Committee Chairman MK Danny Danon of the Likud.

MK Taleb a-Sana (Raam-Taal) confronted MK Ben-Ari and called him a fascist. Ben Ari replied: “you are a terrorist who came here to provoke and you use children as killers.” Danon had a-Sana removed when he refused to behave properly. Three days ago, David Be’eri, founder of the Jewish community in Ir David-Shiloach, entered into a rock-throwing ambush; in his haste to escape, he hit two rock-throwing children with his car. It also appears from video of the event that he had swerved to avoid hitting a third, smaller child. The event was filmed by cameramen who “happened” to be on the scene.

“You’re all crazy,” Tibi railed. “This session is because of a boy who was hurled into the air by a car, not because he threw rocks!”

But its MK Danon who injects the only sane reponse to this sorry state of affairs within the Palestinian position:

“This is not the first time that the Arab population in Silwan (Shiloach) uses children dangerously and cynically by sending them to clash with Jewish passersby,” MK Danon said. “Their parents must be summoned for immediate investigation. We must do whatever is necessary to stop this phenomenon of children throwing rocks.”

Absolutely, and the sooner the better.

One for Israeli democracy

October 11th, 2010 K. Shoshana No comments

While there are plenty of opinions – even religious ones objecting to the Jerusalem-Golan Heights land bill I am relieved that the bill has now been and endorsed by the cabinet. Jerusalem Post:

A bill requiring a national referendum before relinquishing land in Jerusalem and the Golan Heights passed during a special meeting of the Ministerial Committee on Legislation on Monday, laying the groundwork for it to become law within weeks.

According to the spokesman of the committee, among those who voted in favor of the bill were Public Diplomacy and Diaspora Affairs Minister Yuli Edelstein, Culture and Sport Minister Limor Livnat, and Science and Technology Minister Daniel Hershkowitz, with Welfare and Social Services Minister Isaac Herzog and Intelligence and Atomic Affairs Minister Dan Meridor voting against it.

Amendments to the bill include a requirement that 80 members of the Knesset support the referendum and that there will not be a day off for voting.

The bill, submitted by Knesset House Committee chairman MK Yariv Levin (Likud), had already passed its first reading in the Knesset and Levin’s committee without the support of the Prime Minister’s Office. With the Ministerial Committee’s support, the bill is likely to easily pass its final readings.

The legislation would require a national referendum in any instance in which Israel agreed in diplomatic talks to hand over areas that have been annexed (i.e., Jerusalem beyond the Green Line) or to which Israeli law has been extended (i.e., the Golan Heights). According to the bill, any such deal must be approved by the Knesset and then put to a national referendum within 180 days. The bill tasks the Central Elections Committee with running any referendum, and would declare any referendum day to be equivalent to an election day.

The formula for the referendum question is rather simple – ‘are you in favour of or opposed to the agreement approved by the Knesset?’ which is a miracle in of itself. What this does, is effectively strangle any Israeli coalition of fools from giving away anything without the clear approval of the Knesset and the people. May the bill become law in weeks.

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The Dream Team

May 7th, 2010 K. Shoshana 4 comments

These two seemingly unrelated headlines grabbed my attention this morning. Arutz Sheva:

Rabbi Schmidt, 43, is the Rosh Yeshiva (head) of the Hesder Yeshiva in the community, and is also the Rabbi of the town of Shavei Shomron.
According to the rabbi’s wife, Ofra, some 200 policemen arrived at the community Monday with bulldozers to demolish four structures that were being built, allegedly in contravention of the current freeze order on construction by Jews in Judea and Samaria. The bulldozers drove through the yeshiva compound, which adjoins some of the property that was razed. The rabbi instructed some twenty yeshiva students who were present not to confront the police.

On their way back from the demolitions, she said, the destruction crews wanted to pass through the yeshiva grounds once again, although there was an alternate route. This time, the rabbi parked his vehicle in a way that blocked the bulldozers’ way and asked them not to pass through the yeshiva compound, which is private property.
Upon hearing this the police beat the rabbi, knocked him down and continued to beat him severely when he was on the ground. He did not require medical attention, she said, but expressed horror at the fact that Jewish police would beat a rabbi, even after being told that he was a rabbi. 

So the Yassam strike (literally) without an eye to the optics of attacking a rabbi on Yeshiva property. The days when this kind of incident would pass without anyone outside of the immediate circle are long gone with the internet but the fact that the Yassam continue to operate from an exaggerated sense of entitlement without regard for the laws of Israel speaks volumes to lack of accountability the Minister of Defense holds his department to as long as Jews are his chosen victims.

The second is announcement from Moshe Feiglin. Arutz Sheva:

Moshe Feiglin, head of the Manhigut Yehudit oppositional faction within the Likud party, has decided to leave the Likud along with his movement, Makor Rishon reported Friday.
Feiglin has called a meeting of the central activists in Manhigut Yehudit for Sunday, in which he intends to announce his decision. He will recommend that the movement seek its political home outside Likud. On the record, Feiglin would only tell Makor Rishon that “we are in a period of internal inquiries that will last about two weeks and we are involving the activists in the dilemmas.”

(…)Likud leader Binyamin Netanyahu has seen Feiglin as his nemesis within Likud, and accused him of trying to effect a hostile takeover of the Likud with the aim of turning it into a religious party. “We are not an extremist messianic party; we are a national and liberal movement,” he said ahead of the latest confrontation with Feiglin.

That confrontation took place late April and centered on an internal Likud vote to change the party’s constitution in a way that would put off to 2011 the elections to its central committee. The move was seen as a bid to prevent Feiglin from gaining strength in the party’s grassroots leadership and to give Netanyahu time to add more moderate grassroots members to Likud, to offset the ones that Feiglin had brought in.
Feiglin said the showdown would ultimately determine the fate of Jerusalem. Netanyahu, he warned emotionally, wants to silence opposition in the Likud because he has made a secret pact with US President Barack Obama that involves partitioning Jerusalem. Several Likud Knesset members, including Danny Danon, Tzipi Hotovely and Yariv Levin, also opposed Netanyahu’s move – but Netanyahu succeeded in passing the resolution anyway. This last failure is what seems to have convinced Feiglin to leave the Likud and essentially abandon his decade-long project. 

While on first glance these two stories seemingly have nothing to do with each other; they both speak to the democratic deficit within Israeli politics. Feiglin would have been sitting in the Knesset if Netanyahu hadn’t given into subverting his own political party’s process – not once, but many times in pursuit of keeping Feiglin’s Jewish leadership out of power within the Likud. Feiglin’s fraction makes up at least 25-30% of the Likud membership base and has acted as a straw to draw away support from the national religious camp in general elections.

Netanyahu may think the Likud can make-up a 25-30% loss of membership by poaching from Kadima – and Bibi may be right but what he doesn’t seem to fully comprehend is the potential to harm Likud interests Feiglin’s membership represents; if Feiglin decides to do something fresh, creative and controversial…which just happens to be a Feiglin hallmark.

The natural fit for Feiglin’s fraction is to opt to join the National Union and I expect Bibi is counting on that as the impact on national elections wouldn’t be all that much to write back to the diaspora about but if Feiglin wants to keep to his strategy of joining the mainstream political process and influencing change his way; he would be far further ahead to keep his to his strategy and join forces with…Ysrael Beiteinu.

Not to mention the humongous entertainment value I would get watching such a merger but it could potentially mark Yisrael Beiteinu as a fraction too large to be denied no matter if Kadima or Likud took the most mandates. If Yisrael Beiteinu could successfully integrate its party platform with Feiglin’s Jewish Leadership fraction it could potentially lead Israel in the years to come when the country is set to undergo another demographic first – transitioning from a secular Jewish majority to a religious Jewish majority. If I was Lieberman, I’d be calling Moshe.

Can you imagine Lieberman and Moshe both sitting across the table from the Palestinian Authority in ‘direct’ negotiations? I almost (not quite)feel sorry for the Palestinian Authority but the one thing no Jew anywhere in the world would be worrying about is whether Lieberman or Feiglin dividing up Jerusalem.

Poll Time Foolishness in Israel

March 19th, 2010 K. Shoshana 3 comments

Ynet News is reporting that if an election was held today Kadima would trump Likud except Likud would gain 2 more seats and there be a right-wing coalition majority in the Knesset. Ynet claims the pollsters are blaming the perilous Likud loss on the frayed relationship between Israel and the US. Really, for real, and I quote.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party would lose to centrist Kadima if elections were held today, according to an opinion poll published on Friday by Yedioth Ahronot newspaper.
 
According to the poll, Likud – currently the coalition leader – would increase its representation in the Knesset to 29 seats, up from 27, but would trail after Kadima by three seats. The paper linked the shift against Likud to frayed relations between Netanyahu and US President Barack Obama over Israel’s continuing settlement expansion in the West Bank, but did not present findings on Netanyahu’s personal popularity.

But Ynet isn’t done with this foolishness:

It said a majority of 64 percent felt that the current coalition’s policies “do not represent” their wishes.

The poll, conducted by Mina Zemah and Dahaf Institute said Kadima, which currently has 28 seats in the Knesset, would extend its lead to 32 seats if voters were balloted now. The poll predicted that right-wing and nationalist parties would maintain a majority in the Knesset with 63 seats, down from 65 seats.

So whose the real loser? The Labor party.

According to the poll, the Labor Party headed by Defense Minister Ehud Barak would see its representation fall to eight seats, down from 13 seats.

In summation, Israeli Labor voters are dissatisfied with the Israeli Labor party and would break for Kadima which has nothing to due with the state of relations between Israel-America but why let that get in the way of a good spin?

Now you know why polls in Israel are considered notoriously unreliable but if we use this projection I contend it does suggest the Israeli public rather than being casting blame and seeking to punish Bibi for the state of Israeli-American relations supports their Prime Minister in this dispute.

In reality, if an election was held tomorrow I would expect to see a loss for Meretz and Labour breaking Kadima’s way. I would also expect to see Kadima’s gain somewhat off-set by right wing Kadima member’s heading to the Likud party owing to Livni’s abdismal performance as opposition leader. If Bibi stands strong against American malfeasance I would expect to see Likud regain some of the disaffected Likud voters who drifted to Israel Beitneu’s way during the last election.

Now matter how you try to dress it up Israeli voters while fractionous are throughly fractiousness in a ‘rightwing’ way but all you lefties take heart; the Israeli right is still left of the Canadian NDP.