Demographics of Time
I couldn’t resist scheduling one last post before the holiday starts since the item concerns the changing demographics of Jewish Israel. In fact, it touching a subject I have tried to emphasize throughout my blogging years as the implications are wide spread and far-reaching for the whole ‘peace process’. Ynet News:
The Central Bureau of Statistics report published Sunday reveals that 8% of Israel’s Jewish population defines itself as haredi, 12% as religious, 13% as traditional-religious, 25% as traditional and 42% as secular, on a descending scale of religiosity. The data is from the annual general survey carried out for the CBS, which supplies information about living conditions for Israel’s population. As part of the survey, some 7,500 people above the age of 20 were interviewed from throughout the country.
Ynet News chose to emphasized the ‘42%’ of secular nature of Israelis in its head-line for this report but let me put it another way; 58% or the majority of Israeli-Jews consider themselves religious Jews. While I am of the belief that one can never have enough religious Jews there are a number of facts of life which the other 42% of Israelis need to accept. First, of which is that the latte sippers of Tel Aviv aren’t in the majority anymore and need to govern themselves accordingly and its time the pass to brush up on Jewish law. My point being that no resolution to any conflict in the future will be possible without a basis in Jewish law – this includes any agreement made to with the Palestinians.
This scenario is already playing itself in the IDF. Ha’aretz:
The Israel Defense Forces underwent a change.
The army plays a critical role in carrying out an agreement (in withdrawing from territory and evacuating settlers ), but also in ensuring security stability after the agreement is reached. The trouble is that the IDF of 1993 is not the IDF of 2010. Here is what happened in the officers’ course for the infantry corps, the spearhead of the combat units, during that period: In 1990, 2 percent of the cadets enrolled in the course were religious; by 2007, that figure had shot up to 30 percent. And this is how the intermediate generation of combat officers looks today: six out of seven lieutenant colonels in the Golani Brigade are religious and, beginning in the summer, the brigade commander will be as well. In the Kfir Brigade, three out of seven lieutenant colonels wear skullcaps, and in the Givati Brigade and the paratroopers, two out of six. In some of the infantry brigades, the number of religious company commanders has passed the 50 percent mark – more than three times the percentage of the national religious community in the overall population.
The implications (Ha’aretz)
The secular left-wing fell asleep on the job. The empty ranks it left in its wake have been filled by others. Even those who believe there is no choice other than a massive evacuation of the settlements should know that it will be extremely difficult to do this after the disengagement from Gush Katif.
In 2005, the evacuation was carried out because Ariel Sharon did not bat an eyelid and the military acted accordingly. The battalion commanders, for the most part, will obey orders next time as well, but it is hard to see how the company commanders who come from the settlements of Tapuah and Kedumim will answer the call to remove Jews from their homes. It is no surprise that the top IDF brass is so fearful of such a scenario.
Not only did the Israel left fall asleep, they forgot to breed but less any of you forget, even Sharon undertook a purge of the religious officers from the IDF prior to commencing his disengagement from Gaza which among other things saw incompetents parachuted in far above their grade level with disastrous results. Just think how Dan Halutz was vaulted into the upper echelon to become the IDF Chief of Staff over the heads of far more qualified commanders. Sharon was able to do so because the ranks were thinner and there still were alternatives. I suppose Sharon suffered from the hubris that he would always be around to guide them and keep them from making crucial mistakes…
A few months ago a blogging buddy (of the progressive bent) made reference in an email suggesting the so-called Israeli settlements in the disputed territories are strictly populated by Russians and Americans and not real ‘bonafided’ Israelis. I let his remarks pass unchallenged because much like the latte sippers of Tel Aviv, he has fallen to the fallacy that time passing is stagnant thing.
While certainly the early ‘80’s saw an influx of American Jews making Aliyah and residing pass the so-called ‘green-line’ and with the collapse of the former Soviet Union another wave of FSU migrated to the ‘settlements’, he overlooked something crucial. Those Americans and Russian born settlers all had children – and lots of them. Those children have all grown up, married and have had children and rather than migrate away have chosen to stay close to home. Its those grand-children who are now filling out the ranks of the IDF and voting in elections and they are cast in the mold of the religious rather than secular. Unlike in 2004-2005, no Israeli leader can afford to purge the IDF of its religious soldiers and still be able to field an armed force to defeat its enemies.


